特朗普能让美国再次强大吗?Can Trump make America great again?
- 巴黎老唐

- 29 janv.
- 2 min de lecture
今天美国在世界经济的比重在不断下滑,实际经济实力与被中国超越,而工业生产能力则已被中国远远甩在后面。在军事领域,中国已开始紧逼,有些关键领域中国已经领先(无人机,超音速导弹,电子弹射,六代机等)。特朗普想用不规则经济手段(随意用进口税率作要狭),甚至以武力控制小国进出口贸易,用过时的丛林法则解决经济问题,他似乎还活在19世纪!相反看中国,不用一兵一卒,靠合规和平的经济手段控制了世界绝大部分远在非洲的锂、钴等资源;自己拥有不多的天然气但大量天然气从中亚源源运来;无数巨轮往返世界各地将原料输入产品输出,这不需要土地不需要战争。这本来是二战后的新规则。但今天美国看和平竞争玩不过中国,想用19世纪玩法来改变规则,我看是没有前途的,只会让美国众叛亲离,加速美国的下坡速度。这让我联想起了道德经第三十六章里的阐述“如想要收敛它,姑且先放纵它。如想要削弱它,姑且先加强它;如想要废弃它,姑且先推举它;如想要夺取它,姑且先让与它。这就是微妙的智慧”,及老子“以柔克刚”的理念。特朗普让美国疯狂,似乎到处占便宜,但有冬天的蚂蚱最后一蹦的感觉。中国只须集中精力办好自己的事,稳坐钓鱼台。
Today, the United States' share of the global economy is declining, its actual economic strength has been surpassed by China, and its industrial production capacity has fallen far behind. In the military field, China has begun to close the gap, and in some key areas, China has already taken the lead (drones, hypersonic missiles, electronic catapults, sixth-generation fighter jets, etc.). Trump wants to use irregular economic means (arbitrarily imposing import tariffs), and even use force to control the import and export trade of small countries, using outdated jungle laws to solve economic problems. He seems to be living in the 19th century! In contrast, China, without firing a single shot, controls most of the world's lithium, cobalt, and other resources in Africa through compliant and peaceful economic means; it possesses limited natural gas, but a large amount is transported from Central Asia; countless giant ships travel around the world, importing raw materials and exporting products. This requires neither land nor war. This was originally the new rule after the WWII. But today, the United States, seeing that it cannot compete with China in peaceful competition, wants to change the rules with 19th-century methods. I think this is futile and will only alienate the United States and accelerate its decline. This reminds me of Chapter 36 of the Tao Te Ching, which states, "If you wish to restrain it, first indulge it. If you wish to weaken it, first strengthen it. If you wish to abolish it, first promote it. If you wish to seize it, first yield to it. This is subtle wisdom," and Lao Tzu's concept of "Overcome strength with softness." Trump has driven America mad, seemingly gaining advantages everywhere, but it feels like a grasshopper's last leap in winter. China only needs to focus on managing its own affairs well and remain calm and composed.


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